The Art of Conjecture

by Daniel J . Mahoney (Contributor), Bertrand De Jouvenel (Author)

• New

  Paperback
  2012

  $54.70

  Explains what the 'study of the future' can mean. De Jouvenel emphasies the logical and political problems of forecasting and discusses methods in economics, sociology, and political science by which the future can be studied. More importantly, he discusses the fallacies to which the study of the future is peculiarly likely to give rise.