Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence

Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence

by PeterSchwartz (Author)

Synopsis

Events like the collapse of a major energy company or a devastating terrorist attack seem to come from nowhere. Not only are they shocking and disturbing, it often appears that their prevention would have been impossible. Not so, argues Peter Schwartz in this fascinating book. Many 'surprises', he says, soon acquire an aura of inevitability once the underlying patterns of behaviour are examined. And although we cannot do anything about the past, we can try to do something about the future. What, then, is the next big surprise? How might it play out? INEVITABLE SURPRISES covers high-level, universal trends -- from business to international affairs, from biotechnology to climate change -- but presents them in the context of the particular and concrete choices that different people must make. It distinguishes those forces beyond our control from the future that we can influence and help design -- for the world around us, for our organisations, and for ourselves.

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More Information

Format: Paperback
Pages: 288
Edition: New
Publisher: The Free Press
Published: 02 Aug 2004

ISBN 10: 0743239113
ISBN 13: 9780743239110

Media Reviews
[Schwartz] plies his trade in the real world... He's been spectacularly right. (Michael Maiello, Forbes )
Author Bio
Peter Schwartz is co-founder and Chairman of Global Business Network, the world's pre-eminent research and consulting firm focused on scenario planning. He advises a variety of blue-chip clients from government agencies to giant corporations including the CIA, Boeing and Texaco. He is the author of THE ART OF THE LONG VIEW, WHEN GOOD COMPANIES DO BAD THINGS and THE LONG BOOM.