Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty

Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty

by Gerd Gigerenzer (Author)

Synopsis

In the beginning of the 20th century, the father of modern science fiction, H.G. Wells, predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. Yet, a century on, most of us, from TV weather forecasters to the American President, seem to have no idea of how to reason about uncertainties. This volume offers a treatment for the "disease" of statistical illiteracy. Aimed at helping us understand risks in the real world, it shows how a proper understanding of uncertainties can make the difference between hope and despair.

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More Information

Format: Paperback
Pages: 320
Publisher: Allen Lane
Published: 04 Jul 2002

ISBN 10: 0713995122
ISBN 13: 9780713995121
Prizes: Shortlisted for Aventis Prize for Science Books 2003.

Author Bio
Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Center for Adaptive Behaviour and Cognition in Berlin, and a former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. Dan Dennett writes: Gigerenzer is one of the smartest psychologists I know, and he's bursting with great ideas. His topic is dynamite .