Assumption-Based Planning: A Tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises (RAND Studies in Policy Analysis)

Assumption-Based Planning: A Tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises (RAND Studies in Policy Analysis)

by JamesA.Dewar (Author)

Synopsis

Unwelcome surprises in the life of any organization can often be traced to the failure of an assumption that the organization's leadership didn't anticipate or had 'forgotten' it was making. Assumption-based planning (ABP) is a tool for identifying as many as possible of the assumptions underlying the plans of an organization and bringing those assumptions explicitly into the planning process. This book presents a variety of techniques for rooting out those vulnerable, crucial assumptions. The book also presents steps for monitoring all the vulnerable assumptions of a plan, for taking actions to control those vulnerable assumptions where possible, and for preparing the organization for the potential failure of those assumptions where control is not possible. The book provides a variety of examples and practical advice for those interested in carrying out an application of ABP in the fields of business, management, strategic planning, engineering, and in military applications.

$33.97

Save:$0.92 (3%)

Quantity

10 in stock

More Information

Format: Illustrated
Pages: 268
Edition: Illustrated
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 16 Oct 1998

ISBN 10: 0521001269
ISBN 13: 9780521001267
Book Overview: This book offers examples and practical advice for analysis conducting assumption-based planning.

Media Reviews
'... an impressively flexible and pragmatic approach makes extensive use of scenarios. In my view this is one of the most useful methods for stress-testing a plan ... the process spelt out in the book can be applied to all fields of planning and Dewar utilises his real world experience to suggest different methods for implementing the five steps of ABP. This pragmatic approach makes the book very useful for practitioners ...'. The Business Economist
...a careful but engaging explanation of how this type of planning works...Planners who use ABP can take comfort in its realism. The author and his associates have battle tested it in real-life planning for the U.S. Army and private clients over many years...The detailed knowledge gained in ABP should permit the development of ever more relevant scenarios for scenario planning and thus more robust plans. Futurist
Essential for business managers and strategic planners interested in improving existing operation plans. The Futurist